U.S Market Outlook: back to 2004?

Amid the geopolitical concerns simmering across the globe, the upcoming United States earnings reporting season has received less than usual attention. That’s a shame because early indications suggest corporate earnings are travelling reasonably well.  In fact, despite high valuations, US stocks could keep rising if earnings continue to grow – as seen, for example, between

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Thoughts on Australia’s housing “bubble”

Media commentary has been dominated in recent weeks by talk of Australia’s growing “housing bubble.” This note attempts to provide a factual perspective. It suggests that while Sydney house prices are now starting to reach past peaks in terms of mortgage (un)affordability, they are still a little below their average long-run premium to national house

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Financials flex their muscles: what’s good for banks is good for the economy

The decision by major banks over recent weeks to unilaterally raise interest rates on residential property loans, especially for investors, appears to be officially sanctioned and could helpfully ease demand pressures in the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets. That said, greed can be good! These actions could also conveniently help boost bank net-interest margins, which

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In the pursuit of efficiency

In this fast-paced world in which we live, where productivity and ‘being busy’ are a constant focus I find that there is increasingly less time in the day to finish all the tasks and activities I need to do.  So, I am always on the lookout for tips and tricks that can make my life

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Could the S&P/ASX 200 reach and hold 6000 this year?

Since bottoming in February last year, and especially since the election of Donald Trump as US President, the Australian equity market has posted good gains, with the S&P/ASX 200 now within striking distance of the psychological 6000 level.  This post assesses both the technical and fundamental challenges facing the market. All up, the analysis suggests that

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