3 predictions for the ETF industry in 2018 | BetaShares

3 predictions for the Australian ETF industry in 2018

BY BetaShares ETFs | 11 December 2017
2018 ETF Predictions

With the end of the year drawing near, we thought it was an opportune time to discuss the year to come for the ETF industry. In this post, we outline our top 3 predictions for the ETF industry in 2018. In our view, a growing audience of younger investors, an increasing array of fixed income options, and continued growth in Active ETFs,will drive growth in 2018. Read on to find out more.

The Australian exchange traded product industry is set to grow significantly based on the momentum generated in 2017. This year to November, the Australian ETF industry reached an all-time high of $35.5 billion, up from $25 billion in 2016. It certainly appears as though investors are increasingly taking notice of the ease with which ETFs can be used to diversify their portfolios, as well of their cost-effectiveness and transparency benefits. As a result, we expect to see significant growth in 2018 as the array of ETF options on the market continues to increase. Here’s our predictions:

Prediction one: Millennials will continue to be an important driver of growth

Although investors of all types have embraced the ETF market in recent years, millennials continue to gravitate to the sector. Millennials are attracted by the low cost, simplicity and ease of use of ETFs, as well as their ability to provide tailored exposure to investment themes that matter in their lives. In the BetaShares product suite, for example, ETFs such as the Australian and Global Sustainability Leaders ETFs (ASX: FAIR & ETHI) allow younger investors to invest according to their values, whereas products such as the Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ) or our Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK), allow them to be exposed to companies whose products resonate with their daily lives.

Market figures appear to bear out these trends – in Australia this year, according to CommSec, 25% of all ETF trades were done by millennials. Many of our younger clients have told us that one of the key reasons behind this take up may well be the the diversification benefits of ETFs, which makes them a great way to get started investing in the sharemarket.

Prediction two: Greater innovation in fixed income ETFs

Fixed income has long been acknowledged as a good way to diversify a portfolio. Yet bond markets have historically been difficult for individual investors to access. In the last year in particular, there has been significant innovation in this space, with rapid growth in fixed income ETFs globally. With interest rates at record lows, exchange traded products are giving investors vehicles to gain exposure to bonds that goes beyond traditional fixed-rate exposure. The most recent innovation in Australia is the launch of floating-rate bond ETFs, with products such as our QPON ETF, which offers a lower volatility alternative to traditional fixed-rate bond exposures.

Floating rate bonds offer the additional advantage of having their interest payments adjust to reflect rises or falls in benchmark interest rates. This is particularly useful in a market where interest rates are rising. Floating rate bonds posted good returns over the past year, and appear well placed to continue to perform strongly given the current level of interest rates.

Beyond this particular style of fixed income investing, in 2018 more generally, we expect to see further innovation in fixed income ETFs, providing direct investors with much-needed access to lower risk, income-producing assets.

Prediction three: Active ETFs will grow in popularity

This last year has seen the continuation of Active ETF launches, giving investors more opportunity to diversify their portfolios alongside the passive ETF investments. We expect to see Active ETFs growing in popularity in 2018. Indeed, Active ETFs have the potential to match the growth of passive ETFs,  with the launch of a number of funds offering access to active management strategies.

As an example, BetaShares recently launched HBRD, the first Active ETF which provides exposure to a professionally managed portfolio of Australian hybrids.

While we remain a strong advocate of passive investing there are a number of asset classes and managers who can add value via active investing. For example, the complexities of hybrid securities and relative inefficiency of the hybrids market make investing in this asset class via a professionally managed fund vehicle a better way to go for many investors.

More broadly, we believe the future of the Active ETF sector of the Australian industry is bright.

Across all predictions, growth remains the consistent theme

The growth of the ETF industry in Australia has been phenomenal in recent years, and we predict it will continue on this strong trajectory in 2018. More specifically, we expect the ETF industry to end 2018 at $40-45B.


  1. Henry Mendelson  |  December 13, 2017

    I would be grateful for your advice on the two or three most stable fixed income ETFs, and where to source information on their terms, costs and returns.
    Many thanks

    1. Ilan Israelstam  |  January 11, 2018

      Hi Henry,
      Thanks for your comment. You can find information about Fixed Income ETFs on the ASX website. We offer a product called “QPON” which provides access to some of the highest quality Australian bank floating rate note bonds. The Index which QPON aims to track has historically had relatively low volatility and offers a relatively attractive monthly income that is expected to exceed that of cash. Information on this fund can be found at https://www.betashares.com.au/fund/australian-bank-floating-rate-bond-etf/

  2. Tom Hamilton  |  December 21, 2017

    Hi, I have a reasonable portfolio consisting of 30 ASX shares and 1 Beta EFT which is HVST. My portfolio has grown in 2017 by 4% and given me an income of 6.5%. Would selling my shares and investing in several ETF’s give me a better income and growth?

    1. Ilan Israelstam  |  January 11, 2018

      Hi Tom,
      Thanks for your comment. While we are not able to give personal or specific financial advice our Client Services team will be able to describe in more detail some of our funds and their characteristics. Feel free to give them a call during business hours on 1300 487 577

  3. David  |  January 18, 2018

    Hi i am interested in investing in ETFs.

    I currently have roughly 6-8 shares with 1k in each company. I am looking at investing in shares and was wondering what is the best approach to this in terms of ETFs and the different offerings.

    I would like maximum growth over a short time ideally.
    I would also like an ETF that will grow over time.


    1. Ilan Israelstam  |  April 5, 2018

      Our suggestion would be for you to talk to our Client Services Team who can describe some of our products. We aren’t able to offer personal financial advice but we can certainly describe the attributes of our products.

      Feel free to give them a call on 1300 487 577

  4. Cliff Kent  |  February 1, 2018

    Hi BetaShares

    Quick question please – Why has my invetment of $100.000.. in ETF Harvester Fund gone down in value since purchasing to todays figure of around $84,000 . when all other EFT s in my Super have risen considerable..

    1. Alistair Mills  |  May 28, 2018

      Hi Cliff,

      The BetaShares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund is an equity income fund that aims to provide at least double the franked yield of the broader Australian equities market. As such, it is important to look at total returns (including dividends received), rather than just the change in unit price, as income can make up a significant part of the returns profile.

      When comparing different ETFs or funds, it is important to look at the underlying strategy. HVST may have a very different strategy from other funds in your portfolio, which may result in very different outcomes.

      For more information on the Fund’s strategy, please see here: https://www.betashares.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Revisting_HVST_Strategy_final.pdf

  5. Himanshu Desai  |  February 5, 2018

    I have invested a substantial amount of my SMSF in HVST and its value has been dropping much faster than the distribution I am receiving from the ETF. Is there any hope of this ETF turning around? Please revert with your views on future of this ETF.

    1. Michael Brown  |  May 28, 2018

      Hi Himanshu,

      Thanks for your inquiry.

      I have emailed you a more detailed response.

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