Does quality investing work in Australia?

Australian investors are faced with a domestic market concentrated in large-cap mature companies from cyclical industries.

While this makeup typically caters to our high dividend yield preferences, it has historically come at the expense of profitability, growth and price appreciation (not to be mistaken with total returns, which includes dividend income). From 2014 to 2023 the companies underlying the S&P/ASX 200 grew earnings on average 4%p.a. while the index’s price returned 42%, by comparison over the same period, the US’ S&P 500 experienced 7%p.a. earnings growth and 237% price growth – significantly higher than our market.

When good news is bad news – Active Australian Equity Managers

In searching for a core portfolio solution that can generate alpha over the broad market benchmark S&P/ASX200 a lot of investors turn to active managers.

When examining the performance of the largest domestic equity active managers in Australia we find that they exhibit ‘index awareness’. Their returns do not deviate too far from the benchmark – especially when compared to Australian global equity managers. This is unsurprising given the smaller pool of companies available for investment in Australia and the lower deviation of returns amongst those companies compared to global equities. This is also a desirable outcome as periods of significant deviation, particularly underperformance, from the benchmark can be unsettling for investors.

However, index awareness must be coupled with outperformance over the benchmark otherwise investors would simply be better off investing in a low-cost index tracking ETF. Of these five active managers only one provided outperformance of 1% or greater over the S&P/ASX200 over this 10-year timeframe. Taking the most recent SPIVA findings over all active Australian equity managers we know that 79% underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 over the 10-year period ending 30 June 2023.

Considering this and examining the profile of the broad Australian market, (represented by the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 – the blue dot below) we can hypothesise an enhanced solution to broad market investing in Australia – i.e. upweighting to higher quality companies​.

Quality companies are defined by their high return on invested equity, low levels of leverage and earning stability. Historically, companies with these attributes have outperformed broader benchmarks while displaying defensive properties. Taking a quality investment approach in Australia could therefore improve profitability and solve for our market’s relatively low returns.

In fact, several active Australian fund managers already take this approach. Represented by the brown dots below these managers achieve their goal of a higher quality exposure to Australian equities. However, pursuing this sole aim can come at the arguably undesirable result of a very high growth and volatile portfolio – leading to periods of significant deviations from the benchmark. Namely these active managers tend to have a very high growth exposure, small size bias, with high volatility, and low yield when compared to the S&P/ASX200.

AQLT – A balanced approach to quality investing in Australia

AQLT Australian Quality ETF  Australia’s only passive quality Australian equities ETF, takes a more considered approach. AQLT maintains exposure to the largest Australian companies – weighting them by their quality attributes rather than size. It also holds and weights the highest quality companies from the remainder of the S&P/ASX200.

The result, as represented by the orange dots below, is a more balanced portfolio profile with an emphasis on quality. AQLT’s index has historically outperformed the largest Australian active managers while not suffering from the significant deviations from the benchmark that Australian active quality fund managers have.

Australian quality investing in practice

As an example of AQLT’s index approach Macquarie, rather than Commonwealth, typically has the largest weighting for a bank in the portfolio. Although Macquarie has a smaller market capitalisation than Australia’s ‘Big 4’ banks, it has historically displayed higher quality characteristics, for example having an average return on equity of 15% over the past decade compared to a 12% average for the ‘Big 4’ banks. This has translated into Macquarie shares having a price return of 334% over the same 10-year period whilst the average of ‘Big 4’ banks, who pay out most of their earnings as dividends rather than reinvesting for growth, experienced 0% price return for the period.

By taking this enhanced index approach to Australian equities AQLT’s index has historically outperformed the benchmark ASX200 and most of the largest Australian active managers:

While not suffering from the same significant deviations from the benchmark that Australian active quality fund managers have:

AQLT can be used in a diversified portfolio as a core Australian equities allocation. Used alongside existing low-cost passive Australian ETFs AQLT can improve portfolio diversification and fundamentals.

• AQLT

  Australian Quality ETF

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AQLT is rated ‘Recommended’ by Lonsec. You can request the research reports from your BDM or by filling in the form under the following link.