Market Trends: Fears of a global recession fading fast

Better investing starts here
Get Betashares Direct
Betashares Direct is the new investing platform designed to help you build wealth, your way.
Scan the code to download.
Learn more
Learn more

Market fears of a global recession anytime soon are now all but eradicated. Resilient US economic growth, hopes of a broadening in global growth to non-US regions, artificial intelligence euphoria and rate-cut expectations are now the major drivers of the global equity rally. The only near-term debate is how quickly central banks will cut interest rates.

The major risks remaining are sticky inflation and a premature acceleration in global growth, which places renewed upward pressure on bond yields and downward pressure on increasingly stretched equity valuations.

As with global markets, PE valuations are getting a little stretched locally. Sustained further gains seem to require a decent decline in bond yields (without a recession) or further gain in forward earnings.

With a local and global economic soft landing now achievable, the outlook for earnings is encouraging – albeit expected growth over the coming year appears somewhat more subdued than for the global market overall.

Get the latest Market Trends report

Photo of David Bassanese

Written By

David Bassanese
Chief Economist
Betashares Chief Economist David is responsible for developing economic insights and portfolio construction strategies for adviser and retail clients. He was previously an economic columnist for The Australian Financial Review and spent several years as a senior economist and interest rate strategist at Bankers Trust and Macquarie Bank. David also held roles at the Commonwealth Treasury and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in Paris, France. Read more from David.
keyboard_arrow_down

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Previous article
Next article